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Why Bitcoin Needs To Clear $43,800 For Hopes of a Fresh Rally

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Bitcoin is recovering losses and trading above $43,000 against the US Dollar. BTC must clear $43,800 to continue higher in the near term.

  • Bitcoin found support near $41,600 and started a fresh upward move.
  • The price is trading above $43,000 and the 100 hourly simple moving average.
  • There was a break above a key bearish trend line with resistance near $42,250 on the hourly chart of the BTC/USD pair (data feed from Kraken).
  • The pair could continue to rise if there is a clear move above the $43,800 resistance.

Bitcoin Price Starts Recovery

Bitcoin price extended decline below the $42,000 support zone. However, BTC found support above the $41,500 zone. A low was formed near $41,573 and the price started a decent recovery wave.

There was a break above the $42,000 and $42,500 resistance levels. The price climbed above the 23.6% Fib retracement level of the key decline from the $45,900 high to $41,570 low. Besides, there was a break above a key bearish trend line with resistance near $42,250 on the hourly chart of the BTC/USD pair.

Bitcoin is now trading above $43,000 and the 100 hourly simple moving average. It even broke the $43,500 resistance zone. However, the bulls are now facing resistance near the $43,800 zone.

Source: BTCUSD on TradingView.com

The 50% Fib retracement level of the key decline from the $45,900 high to $41,570 low is also near the $43,800 zone. A clear move above the $43,800 resistance zone might send the price further higher. The next major resistance is near $44,850, above which the price might rise towards the $45,500 resistance level.

Fresh Decline in BTC?

If bitcoin fails to continue higher above the $43,800 resistance zone, it could start a downside correction. An immediate support on the downside is near the $43,200 zone.

The next major support is seen near the $42,850 level (the recent breakout zone). If there is a downside break below the $42,850 support zone, the price might start a fresh decline. The next support sits near $42,000, below which there is a risk of a new low below $41,570.

Technical indicators:

Hourly MACD – The MACD is now gaining pace in the bullish zone.

Hourly RSI (Relative Strength Index) – The RSI for BTC/USD is now above the 50 level.

Major Support Levels – $43,000, followed by $42,850.

Major Resistance Levels – $43,800, $44,850 and $45,500.

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