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Bitcoin Stuck In Key Range, Why A Major Breakout Is Possible

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Bitcoin is holding the key $29,500 support against the US Dollar. BTC must clear the $31,500 resistance zone to start a major increase in the near term.

  • Bitcoin is showing a few positive signs above the $29,500 support zone.
  • The price is now trading below the $30,500 level and the 100 hourly simple moving average.
  • There is a major contracting triangle forming with resistance near $31,250 on the hourly chart of the BTC/USD pair (data feed from Kraken).
  • The pair could start a strong increase if there is a clear move above the $31,500 resistance.

Bitcoin Price Remains In A Range

Bitcoin price attempted a fresh increase above the $31,200 and $31,500 resistance levels. However, the bears were active near the $31,500 zone. A high was formed near $31,550 and the price corrected gains.

There was a move below the $31,000 and $30,500 support levels. A low was formed near $29,848 and the price is now consolidating in a range. There was a recovery above the $30,000 resistance zone. The price spiked above the 23.6% Fib retracement level of the recent decline from the $31,550 high to $29,848 low.

However, the price struggled near the $30,700 level. Bitcoin is now trading below the $30,500 level and the 100 hourly simple moving average.

An immediate resistance on the upside is near the $30,400 level and the 100 hourly simple moving average. The first major resistance is near the $30,850 level. The main resistance is near the $31,250 level. There is also a major contracting triangle forming with resistance near $31,250 on the hourly chart of the BTC/USD pair.

Source: BTCUSD on TradingView.com

A clear move above the $31,250 resistance level could send the price further higher. The next major resistance might be $32,000. Any more gains might call for a trend change and a move towards the $33,200 level.

Downside Break in BTC?

If bitcoin fails to clear the $31,250 resistance zone, it could start another decline. An immediate support on the downside is near the $30,000 level.

The next major support is near the $29,850 level. The main support is still near the $29,500 zone. A downside break below the $29,500 support may perhaps spark another decline. In the stated case, the price could dive towards the $28,500 support zone in the near term.

Technical indicators:

Hourly MACD – The MACD is now losing pace in the bearish zone.

Hourly RSI (Relative Strength Index) – The RSI for BTC/USD is now just below the 50 level.

Major Support Levels – $30,000, followed by $29,500.

Major Resistance Levels – $30,400, $30,850 and $31,250.

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